Law Crime analysis.
Project description Resources Read/review the following resources for this activity: · Lecture Notes for Unit 5 · Rachel Boba Santos: Chapters 8-11 · Sample Series (Available in Course Documents) Boba, Rachel. Crime analysis with crime mapping (3rd. ed.). Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage, 2013. ISBN 1452202710 introduction Forecasting, or predicting next events, is a major part of tactical crime analysis. In some ways, it’s the most important part: knowing about a crime series isn’t very important unless we can do something about it, and doing something about it requires some assessment of what the offender will do in the future. Forecasting is based on the idea that human behavior is largely predictable”that we all have natural patterns and schedules to our lives, whether we’re shopping in a grocery store or robbing it. In this week’s discussion, we’ll talk about some of those patterns and how we might be able to predict them. Sometimes, our forecasts aren’t explicit. We don’t say, œI predict the serial robber will strike again between October 8 and October 14, or œThere’s a 74% chance that the next burglary will occur within a half mile of the most recent incident. Instead, by discussing the offender’s preferred spatial and temporal patterns, we implicitly suggest what may happen in the future. Initial Post Instructions Review the tactical crime analysis product examples in this week’s course resources. Choose one of them and answer the following questions (in paragraphs; do not write your post like a Q&A): 1) Did the analyst make a forecast of future activity in the bulletin? 2) Is that forecast implicit or explicit? 3) Choose a role as a community member, patrol supervisor, or detective. If you were given this bulletin, what would you do with the information in it”particularly the forecast? How would you act on this product? 4) Does the analyst leave out any important information that would help you answer Question 3?